Germany hits 2% GDP defense spending in 2025 budget

Tracks whether Germany's 2025 federal budget commits defense spending at or above 2% of GDP, as reported by NATO or German Finance Ministry official figures. LONG if Germany's actual or projected 2025 defense expenditure reaches the 2% NATO threshold; SHORT if spending falls below 2% again after the 2024 one-time spike. Germany briefly hit 2% in 2024 due to the €100B Sondervermögen special fund, but sustaining it requires structural budget increases. Chancellor Merz has pledged to meet the target, but the traffic-light coalition's fiscal constraints and the debt-brake debate create uncertainty. Watch the 2025 Bundeshaushalt budget draft, Finance Ministry defense spending projections, and NATO annual defense expenditure reports for confirmation.